EclipseWhere

What Apophis is

(99942) Apophis is a near-Earth asteroid roughly 375 metres across (ESA) — the size of a large stadium complex, or three and a half football pitches laid end to end. It was discovered in 2004, and for a few months it was the most alarming object ever catalogued: early orbit solutions gave it up to a 2.7% chance of striking Earth in 2029, briefly earning the highest rating ever issued on the Torino impact-hazard scale (Level 4).

That alarm is history. Every improvement in the orbit since — culminating in the March 2021 radar campaign by NASA's Goldstone complex and the Green Bank Observatory — has shrunk the uncertainty, and an impact is now ruled out for at least the next 100 years (ESA). What 2029 brings instead is the spectacle of the miss: the asteroid passes under 32,000 km from Earth's surface, closer than the geostationary satellites your TV dish points at.

The name, for the record, comes from the discoverers' fondness for a villain in Stargate SG-1, borrowed from an Egyptian serpent-deity. The "god of chaos" headlines write themselves; the object itself is a quiet lump of rock on a well-measured orbit.

Why scientists care so much

What it will actually look like

Honesty first: a faint, slowly moving star. No tail, no flare, no streak. At its ~magnitude-3 best it matches the middle stars of the Big Dipper — visible directly from a dark site, marginal from a suburb, invisible from a city centre. What makes it unlike anything else you have seen is the motion: about one Moon-width of sky per minute. Stars do not do that. Satellites do — but you will be watching a mountain, not a machine, and you will know it.

If you arrive expecting cinema, you will be disappointed; if you arrive knowing you are watching a 375-metre body sail past the planet, it is quietly unforgettable. That framing is the honest sell, and it is the only one this site will make.

How to find and follow it

← The location comparison · Photographing the pass

Sources: ESA Planetary Defence — Apophis (size, distance, 2.7% historical risk figure, 100-year rule-out, radar campaign); NASA (OSIRIS-APEX); Torino Level 4 as reported at discovery, December 2004. Motion rate ≈1 lunar diameter/minute as published in encounter analyses and consistent with the Horizons ephemeris.